Sunday, June 25, 2006
Re(2): 'Consent of the Governed at the Very Center of Hell...', BoghieOnYourSix, Me
Re(3): 'A still small voice...', Belmont Club, Wretchard TC
Re(4): 'Storm Warning...', My Sandmen, Mr. Atos
The Democratic Party is in serious trouble.
They can take no credit for a positive resolution in the Iraqi Theater of the GWOT.
They have harped constantly, carped often, and ranted themselves into apoplexy.
They have one slim chance to be relevant from this point onward. But, they are not taking the opportunity President Bush has repeatedly laid on their doorstep. That opportunity is the chance to play a major role in ‘Winning the Peace’.
How many times have we heard that option presented to those suffering BDS? They are positively aligned with being a (or maybe the) major player in defining the institutions that pull the Middle East swamp into the Corps group nations – to yank millions from the Gap. They built the UN, pushed through the Marshall Plan, developed and implemented the containment of totalitarian communism. They did all these things. Alas, that was sixty years ago – at the end of a generational saeculum.
Now, the prophets of liberalism do nothing but scream and yell.
So, one last chance - listen...
Behold, a voice came to him, and said, "What are you doing here, Elijah?"
Tuesday, June 20, 2006
Major Mike applies the theory of arodynamics to the Liberal Democratic Party:
Me thinks they should read MMs fine dissertation regarding their piloting skills - then check out my post on how to get their Mojo back... Personally, I think the Libs have a running bear problem - their thinkers give the Republicans six months to fail, but the Democrats are slower and will fail in four (November). Remember, you don't have to be faster than the bear - just faster than the schlep next to you...
Libs, success is long term...
Not months, years? decades???
It will be a very long time coming...
But, nothing worthwhile is ever easy...
That damn pyramid thing again... Again...
Sunday, June 18, 2006
First, it is my opinion that the Democratic Party will lose seats in both the House and the Senate in November 2006. The caucus count will then determine whether they can stand and fight to regain some power from 2008 onward. I postulate this for the following reasons:
- The Democratic Party mission statement is domestic
- The Democratic Party cannot gain from military victory
- We are winning in the Iraqi and Afghani theaters of conflict
‘W’s domestic policy is resulting in low unemployment, high productivity, and a growing tax base. The Democratic Party placed all their domestic eggs (almost their entire platform) fighting Bush’s tax policies, investment policies, and retirement policies. The Republicans can almost guarantee victory by streamlining their own pork. There is a growing realization that movements like the Porkbusters are watching them – and those people vote. Additionally, the one thing a politician needs is reelection. Therefore, what are the odds of Republican Congress Critters simply pushing their pork till next year – or the Administration simply not expensing the pork voted into the budget? So, low taxes, low unemployment, high productivity, and a magically shrinking deficit all go to the Republicans – and the Democratic Party will be viewed as Luddite Obstructionists.
Therefore, the Democratic Party is not in a position to capitalize on a success – they have not implemented anything to succeed at. Thus, while Joe Kline thinks the Bushies have six months to succeed in Iraq or they will fail miserably I think the Democratic Party must have a success within four months or fail permanently – election time.
What to do… Well… This is a bitter solution, but your only one:
Get out there and promote victory in Iraq and Afghanistan. If you have other sensible ideas present them. But get on the victory bandwagon. We have to win this conflict – cutting and running is not an option if we want lasting peace. We will win this thing.
And, most importantly start presenting ideas that support lasting peace…
That is how you can cut your losses this year – and get on the victory wagon in the years to come. We will win the conflict, but we also have to win the peace. Help build the structure that pulls the world together. Build a new and better United Nations. Your Party played the key role in winning the last Fourth Turning war, play a role in this one.
However, if you don’t step forward to help mop up the conflict and define the peace you will be in for a very long and protracted demise. We are talking about forty to sixty years in the hole.
Re(2): 'A Fragile Basket...', My Sandmen, Mr. Atos
I recommend four books in the study of our times (copyright order):
- ‘Clash of Civilizations’, Samuel P. Huntington, 1996
- ‘The Fourth Turning’, William Straus and Neil Howe, 1997
- ‘Carnage & Culture’, Victor Davis Hanson, 2001
- ‘The Pentagon’s New Map’, Thomas P.M. Barnett, 2004
Here, I will key on the generational archetype study (Anglo Saxon) by William Straus and Neil Howe. To inadequately summarize – their theory is that four generational archetypes cycle repeatedly, and in order, through one ‘long life’ saeculum. Generations cycle this way because they rear children differently based on how they themselves were reared - and as a result of calamitous crises, ie. Fourth Turnings. Neil and Straus wrote their book in what they defined as a Third Turning.
Remember the mid-90’s. Dead center in a Third Turning generation Straus and Howe remark in the first pages of the book that:
AMERICA FEELS LIKE IT’S UNRAVELING.
Though we live in an era of relative peace and comfort, we have settled into a mood of pessimism about the long-term future, fearful that our superpower nation is somehow rotting from within.
We perceive no greatness in our leaders, a new meanness in ourselves.
Popular trust in virtually every American institution – from businesses and governments to churches and newspapers – keeps falling to new lows.
Wherever we’re headed, America is evolving in ways most of us don’t like or understand. Individually focused yet collectively adrift, we wonder if we’re heading toward a waterfall.
That was the mid-90’s. The Third Turning of a four season saeculum. The authors then defined and predicted a Fourth Turning:
The Fourth Turning is a Crisis, a decisive era of secular upheaval, when the
values regime propels the replacement of the old civic order with a new one.
Basic math placed the beginning of the Fourth Turning somewhere around 2005. Sixty years after the end of the previous cataclysm – World War II. Forty years after the ‘Consciousness Revolution’, an Awakening period in which social mores are challenged (this would be the 60’s and 70’s). Twenty years after the Millennials started to be reared in ever more structured households. And, concurrent with the Millennials starting their very own Artist generation.
Simply awaiting the spark…
To make an understated argument – that spark was 9/11. Can there be any argument?
Like most, Straus and Howe did not read the effect Islamism would have on the world. In the mid-90’s it was thought that Islamism was contained and any problems were happening ‘over there’. So, I will select individuals that seem to fit the archetypes of this Fourth Turning:
|Archetype||Other than Islamists||Islamists|
George W. Bush
Osama bin Laden
Donald Rumsfeld *
|Abu Musab al-Zarqawi|
|Artists||Being Born||Being Born|
* Secretary Rumsfeld is outside the age demographic, but acts decisively like a Nomad.
** I do pick sides.
In other words, we are now perfectly aligned for a decisive war.
How well are we prepared for the struggle?
Here was the advice of Straus and How – with my interpretation on success and/or failure:
Prepare Values: There has been a decisive trend in American values in the past twenty five years. The struggle now is on the periphery. The values that are proving victorious are best defined by President George W. Bush – Compassionate Conservatism.
Prepare Institutions: The Congress has decidedly shifted and is now stable and gaining further stability. The current Left is being relegated to the periphery – the parenthesis. Under Presidents Reagan and Bush Sr. we did destroy our major adversary. We did modernize our military. We did build the framework for expanding our economy. Under President Clinton we did cut fat from the government structure. We did reform welfare dramatically. We did learn how to run Federal budget surpluses.
Prepare Politics: Reagan did define America as the “shining city on the hill”. Bush Sr. defined our world as “a thousand points of light” – a world were “aggression will not stand”. President Clinton signed reform that made our economy a more capitalist, work based economy. All three Third Turning Presidents emphasized the value of community and social structure. All three missed the important concept of preparing Americans for our nations ‘future’ challenges. However, ‘W’ has repeatedly and candidly and to great consequence to his political survival addressed those massive issues: Social Security, Immigration, War, and Values.
Prepare Society: President Clinton tried with many of his youth service programs. This is a very weak area – because Liberals and Conservatives have no consensus on how to do this.
Prepare Youth: This could be our weakest link. But, I think not – because our military age youth seem mature and socially adept and group oriented. Note the growth of religion, the fight over the boy scouts, the increased recruitment into the military, etc… However, our leaders did not restructure their resources from rich oldsters to budding youngsters – and still haven’t. It is coming.
Prepare Elders: ‘W’ is trying. The rest of our ‘leaders’ are not. Our corporations – and in fact our government – have shifted our retirement plans from defined benefits to defined contribution plans. The dividend tax changes also help. But, the elders are in for a big, big, big fall sometime within the next ten years. Could we be in a situation where social upheaval follows external upheaval? Yup…
Prepare the Economy: We are on target for moving folks to self-managed retirement plans, but too many are still counting on Social Security. Technologically, we are locked on for success. Our business and technological innovation is first rate. Our savings rate sucks (nice use of French) and nobody seems to care. ‘W’ is trying to readjust the tax base to enhance savings.
Prepare the Defense: Thank the Lord there was a Reagan and a Bush Sr. and a Gingrich. And, now ‘W’ is building a very strong and relatively inexpensive military. Did you know there are about 60,000 more grunts in our military than were present in 2001. And, as we recruit, more of the recruits are becoming teeth rather than tails.
So, again where are we:
A selected final thought from Straus and Howe:
The Fourth Turning could spare modernity but mark the end of our nation. It could close the book on the political constitution, popular culture, and moral standing that the word America has come to signify. This nation has endured for three saecula; Rome lasted twelve, Etruria ten, the Soviet Union (perhaps) only one. Fourth Turnings are critical thresholds for national survival. Each of the last three American Crises produced moments of extreme danger: In the Revolution, the very birth of the republic hung by a thread in more than one battle. In the Civil War, the union barely survived a four-year slaughter that in its own time was regarded as the most lethal war in history. In World War II, the nation destroyed an enemy of democracy that for a time was winning; had the enemy won, America might have itself been destroyed. In all likelihood, the next Crisis will present the nation with a threat and a consequence on a similar scale.
The new saeculum could find America a worse place. As Paul Kennedy has warned, it might no longer be a great power. Its global stature might be eclipsed by foreign rivals. Its geography might be smaller, its culture less dominant, its military less effective, its government less democratic, its Constitution less inspiring.
Alternatively, the new saeculum could find America, and the world, a much better place. Like England in the Reformation Saeculum, the Superpower America of the Millenial Saeculum might merely be a prelude to a higher plane of civilization. Its new civic life might be more nearly resemble that “shining city on a hill” to which colonial ancestors aspired.
My silly opinion:
I see a “shining city of a hill”. I watch as the Nomad generation increasingly votes for Prophets of a certain bent – Reaganesque. I listen and view vibrant arguments in the new media with great confidence. I watch as our Nomads lead our Millenials in successful military endeavors. As our nation maturely accepts the good and the bad. As our polity turns away from the isolationist self-centered screeching of folks and institutions stuck in prior generational seasons. As our economy grows in a sustainable fashion – with low unemployment and high productivity. And, as we work with others to resolve our demographic, economic, and military needs.
I watch as our enemies Prophets are silenced and their Nomads killed. As they further isolate themselves and their ideas. As they increasingly become viewed as rogues and barbarians.
On the other hand, I do have concerns:
That the Islamist threat may not actually be the Crisis (an odd, but honest thought). That half of our citizenry may be so entrenched in the Third Turning as to not cooperate in the Fourth Turning. That steps taken now may damage our polity. That much of our population is isolating themselves – and their valued opinions and concerns – from our polity. That, as a result of an Islamist move or the isolation of the Liberal polity, the next President may be a very dangerous Demagogue – the actuality of the Hard Lefts portrayal of ‘W’.
Time will tell, eh…
Monday, June 12, 2006
But, with the unforeseen mishap that occurred Thursday it is time to remind my readers of the success the Left has attained in the GWOT. I think we should include the eight years of the former Administration just to be fair. That is, Clinton’s eight years – with WTC 1, Khobar Towers, Embassy Bombings, Cole Bombing, beheadings in the Philippines, Rwanda, and maybe Bosnia – against Bush’s five years. Please use the comments to keep tabs.
C.S. Scott at SecurityWatchTower mentioned these 57 gentlemen by name – and alluded to a total of two hundred chaps in an earlier listing. I will include that list as a starting point.
So the score is at least 57 to 0.
As a reminder, this is President Clinton's crackerjack team:
You are Now Voting for:
as Speaker of the House
as Majority Leader of the Democratic Party
to run the House Judiciary Committee.
Get these schlumps out of the leadership and I may even join you in throwing the bums out...
Saturday, June 10, 2006
Re(2): ‘CBS/AP: US Troops Beat Zarqawi Before He Died’, Sweetness & Light
Collateral casualties in the GWOT. The teenage wife and infant of al-Zarqawi were casualties in the air strike on the ‘safe’ house. We probably knew they were there. We pulled the trigger – and we apparently made the decision at a fairly local level in the chain of command. OK. Good.
Compare this effective strike with the constant confliction and inaction of the previous Administration. Their inaction directly led the murder of tens of thousands of innocent people over the span of a decade.
I would like to remind the Libs reading this post. The measured action – with probable full knowledge of the circumstances – resulted in al-Zarqawi commiting exactly zero (0) atrocities from 2006/06/08 onward. Please use the comments section to post your successes in the GWOT.
Special Note: It didn’t take long did it? The AP and CBS ‘news’ outlets use an unnamed Iraqi source – who lives in the area of the al-Zarqawi strike, a hotbed of terror support – to lay claim to be the first reference of Americans beating al-Zarqawi to death. My note: Oh, well and good for it! Why take this slug alive? But, then again, these unnamed sources – especially Iraqis in the middle of a Terror Support Zone – tend to lie. What next, was there a wedding party going on?
ADVICE: MSM, as represented by the AP and CBS News in the above reference, please, oh please don't go out there. Out there is doom. Out there is ridicule. Uuuugggghhhhhh. Don't go further into the land of the Moonbats. Don't get your commentary mentioned on Err America... Don't go there. Uuuuuuuggghhhhh, I probably own some of your stock in my 401(k). Maybe, in a Rovian way, the MSM is trying their best to doom our economy and stock market - in the best of the BDS tradition.
Thursday, June 08, 2006
Re(2): 'Blogosphere Blues', MySandmen, Major Mike
Major Mike just ended his blogger hiatus using his loud command voice to target the mark of Hidatha – as defined by the hard Left, as defined by the Mediacrats, and as defined by Mike:
I was done. I couldn’t type. It is an immensely complex issue that I didn’t have the energy to attack. So I didn’t. For the first time since I was first pulished in Proceedings magazine in 1991, I backed away from the fight, and what is worse, is that I failed to do it when my fellow Marines are entitled to my support.
I was disheartened by the initial, hysterical reports. I was disgusted by the judge and jury act of Rep. Murtha. I am also disgusted by the leaks coming out of the NIS in SoCal. I am fearful that the Army leadership in Iraq understands little about counter-insurgent warfare and its inherent difficulties and stresses. And I am in anguish by the thought that these charges may be true, and that the leadership elements in the Corps may be failing their Marines, and more importantly, that some elements of the Marine Chain of Command, may be derelict in their duties, and failing our country.
It was too much to tackle. But I became haunted by the idea that Marines world-wide would be smeared to a great extent, if some call for calm, reason, and possibly
mitigating factors, were not brought out.
Major Mike, our Marine Corps is working this out. The Corps is a great institution. If these Marines are innocent they will be absolved. If they are partially culpable than they will serve time. If war crimes, they will pay dearly – such actions are the mark of the beast. Patience and justice. Justice will be done – swift and sure.
So, he got me on a rant, and I had to comment on the Blogosphere Blues:
This thing is a grind – there, here, and everywhere.
Here is what pisses me off enough to absolutely no end. When we had to make the decision to go into Iraq we had ‘full’ commitment in Congress, the media, and the electorate. We now know what ‘full’ commitment is to the Left Wing of our polity. It is Kerry voting for the 80 Billion before he voted against it. It is Mawkish Murtha voting to initiate combat - then a year later telling the world it is all someone else’s fault and we have to run away. It’s the media running amok with Abu Graib and Hidatha while finding the demise of barbaric Terror Turds to be unworthy of comment.
But, is it an American public turning its back?
Moving from an Oooraahhhh of 80% to an uuuggggghhhhh of 40%.
I think not. We are in a grind. To me, the American public is more like a lineman in the mud of a close football game than some flighty receiver bitching that he is not getting the ball enough. Why? Can you not feel the hunker. Let the LOPS (Low Output People) scream and rant – we will get the job done. Feel the ground shake as Americans dig in to get lower than the enemy on the other side. One line push at time. Deal with the media. Deal with the Lefties. Deal with the Eurotrash. Just one shove at a time.
I feel it. It is more lasting than an oooorrraaaaahhh.
And, it is very dangerous to those wide-outs throwing tantrums on the sidelines. Their season and their careers may end in a few months, but even now they are not sensing their own demise. Today, the day al-Zarqawi became a footnote; our ignorant and spoiled receiver took a punch at the coach. Bad news, no news, we lose. Guess what superstar, this is a ground game. We don’t need you. We don’t trust you. You do not matter.
Here is the world as I see it.
- Over there, we fight barbarism. Others have fought the battle in years past. It is now our turn. This will be ugly at times – as your post emphasizes. But, it is necessary. It will not finish in a draw. There will be a winner. There will be a loser
- Over here, we send our honor, our resources, and our blood to the very depths of hell. We knew it. We know it. We have to accept it. We have an honorable and just mission. We have honorable and just leadership. We are an honorable and just people In this thing we have to win – or we will lose. There are no options.
In the end, we have to win.
Wednesday, June 07, 2006
They just can’t figure out why anyone would have voted for Bilbray…
Let me start with why I could not vote for Busby:
- John Conyers will still have to run his impeachment tea party in the basement
- A vote for her is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House
- A vote for her is a vote to weaken the resolve in the GWOT
- A vote for her is a vote for unwavering amnesty
Now, why would I vote for Bilbray:
- He won the Republican primary fairly
- He will vote for a sensible Speaker of the House
- He will help curb the voracious spending appetite of Congress
- He has always been reasonable on the topic of illegal immigration
- Choose better Party Leadership
- Stop being so rabidly anti-military
- Start valuing and emulating leadership
- Get a viable alternative to conservative ideals
- Allow America and her allies to win the GWOT
Monday, June 05, 2006
NOTE: Yes, I know Major Mike will enjoy the whole pyramid thang. Just watched a show on the History Station on the architect of the Great Pyramid - and, no, it was not Mr. Atos!!! That show got the synapses firing a bit off again...
From December 24, 2005:
However, if you are an Idiotarian Lefty, please understand that the next targets are yours:
- San Francisco
- United Nations
- Gay Pride Parades
Radical Islamists hate the corrupting influence of soft western power as well. The best of them (al Qaeda) target not just people, but icons of our civilization. Thank God, on this Christmas Eve, that al Qaeda targeted the part of America that fights back rather than cowers down!
Sunday, June 04, 2006
The American economy (GDP) has grown by about 35% since CY2000 (Calendar Year). I have a distinct feeling that NO other economy has grown that much over the past six years. Did bin Laden and his likeminded Jihadi autocrats think that would be the end result of 9/11. What happens when (as I think is happening right now) we start to consume less resources in our fight against a weakening enemy. Is this a matrix point for determining the winning team in the GWOT?
One side has a highly trained military in, or adjacent to, ALL borders of the enemy bastions – with freedom and capability of movement. The other has to rely on fairly incompetent boobs who can’t figure out that electronic communications can be – shall we say – observed by the Great Satan. Anywhere in the world. Is this a matrix point for determining the winning team in the GWOT?
One side seems to be implementing TQL style constant process improvement practices to constantly enhance capability. The other side is doing what they have been doing for decades. Nobody likes slow improvement. It is not sexy. But, it is measurable and constant. And the changes are always in the right direction. Always better. Always pushing the ball forward. Kindof strangling for the other side. The Jihadis wander from one hell hole to another because they have to – they are reacting to our moves. Where is that damn Qaim Centered Caliphate anyway? Is this a matrix point for determining the winning team in the GWOT?
There appears to be a few shaped charges in play. Not by chumps in a garage who routinely blow themselves up – but by strategic long term thinkers. What else is the wall in the West Bank other than a shaped charge? What else was the pullout from Gaza? What else are the Anbar action and the stuff going on at the Iranian border? The shaping of those kinetic charges points back to the centers of terror. And, the Terror Turds are starting to fight amongst themselves. These Terror Turds are starting to kill one another in something easily defined as civil war but what are they accomplishing? Who is following the guiding light of the Terror Turd leadership? Hard to attack the Great Satan and the Little Satan and the minions of Satan when you have to squabble over a shrinking piece of the pie in the Turd World. However, other parts of the Third World are starting to develop. Is this a matrix point for determining the winning team in the GWOT?
And, we have not destroyed a culture, a people, a civilization.
To the Media and Democrats, get out of the holograph – quick. It’s faaadddddiiiiiiinggggg.
Re(2): 'The Essential President Bush', The Anchoress
Re(3): 'The Anchoress: The Essential President Bush', Me
Remember all the undercurrent commentary about President Bush as he was running for office in 1999.
- He was a reluctant candidate.
- He was not driven to become President.
- No childhood pictures with President Kennedy
- He didn't want to get into the tough political mud throwing.
The mediacrats and the Left can reacquire some authority and respect from the American citizenry if they are constructive in the goal of building a lasting peace. They can't seem to read the court though. Hidatha! Abu Ghraib! Tarawa! Diep! Vietnam! They can't see: Consensual governance in Iraq! Consensual governance in Afghanistan! Consensual governance in Lebenon! A civil war on the West Bank and Gaza! Democratic unrest in Egypt! Even UN action against Iran! So President Bush is giving them another chance (like the UN) to be relevant. But, blinded by BDS, they can’t seem to get past a Yalta Accord style solution. We don’t have to deal with a great power Stalin anymore.
The 2+ years remaining in Bush Presidency may be unforgiving to the Left in America if they continue to rant and rave. He is up to creating a lasting framework for victory and peace. The Left has to learn to be constructive to stay in the game.
I don’t think President Bush wants a One Party State in America – see above and all his attempts to work with those in the other aisle – but that is where we may be going.
Is that good?
Will it be good to have an unconstrained polity?
Will future historians blame President Bush or the Media or the Democratic Party leadership?